Anthropic Economic Index

Confidence 0.75 · 2 sources · last confirmed 2026-04-28

A research initiative by Anthropic that measures real-world AI use through privacy-preserving analysis of Claude conversations on Claude.ai (consumer) and the 1P API (enterprise). Recurring report cadence (four reports through Jan 2026).

Stated mission (per Anthropic): provide ongoing, empirical measurement of how AI is changing tasks, occupations, and the labor market.

What it tracks

DomainMapped to wiki concept
Task speedup, success, complexitygenerative-ai
Automation vs. augmentation shareautomation-vs-augmentation
Aggregate productivity impactai-employment-effects
Task-composition shiftai-deskilling
Cross-country adoptionenterprise-ai-adoption
Task-horizon time scalingai-benchmarks

Reports

ReportSample periodStatus in this wiki
FirstJanuary 2025Not separately ingested; numbers cited
Second(early 2025)Not separately ingested
ThirdAugust 2025Not separately ingested; numbers carried over
FourthNovember 2025Ingested — introduces “economic primitives” framework

Economic primitives (introduced in fourth report)

Five measurements per conversation, derived by Claude classifying its own conversation samples:

  1. Task complexity — human time required without AI; whether multiple tasks were handled within one conversation.
  2. Human and AI skill level — years of education needed to understand prompts and Claude’s responses.
  3. Use case — work / education / personal.
  4. AI autonomy — degree of user delegation, from collaboration to fully directive.
  5. Task success — Claude’s own assessment of whether the task was completed.

See the fourth-report source page for definitions and applications.

Methodology notes

  • Privacy-preserving — random samples (typically 1M conversations on Claude.ai + 1M API transcripts).
  • Tasks mapped to O*NET taxonomy.
  • Models change report-to-report — fourth report uses Claude Sonnet 4.5 predominantly; this affects comparability across editions.

Cited by external research

Open questions

  • Earlier reports (1st through 3rd) are referenced indirectly through the fourth-report carry-over data; first-party ingestion of any prior report would clarify the longitudinal methodology.